Hugh, your theory is interesting but I'm not sure I buy it.
I hold a view more similar to flippant Mark Steyn. Perhaps because I live in Europe, I am acutely aware of what jihad-enablers here (westerners who are in active denial about the extant denial and who also despise the US) think and what they pray for, namely a total withdrawal of the US which they would see as a clear victory. --from a reader
Many Muslims do pray for an American withdrawal -- especially the Sunnis in Iraq who are now bombing. So what? Are they always right? Do they always make the clever decisions, and we should, therefore, always and everywhere do the opposite of what some Muslims vocally claim to want, and even, some of them, do want?
Look at all those who hold these "U.S. Out of Iraq" rallies. Do you think those people have any good idea of what will happen when the Americans leave? Do you think they have given a thought to what the Shi'a will then do to the Sunnis, and vice-versa? Do you think they think the Americans are even capable of being that (obviously) cunning or (supposedly) cruel to allow such a thing? Of course not.
Of course they will crow. So what? In a month, or two, the real results will be clear. And those real results will be not be good for the Camp of Islam.
Don't listen to what Muslims claim to want. Especially since, as is absolutely clear, the Muslim regimes in Egypt, and Jordan, and Saudi Arabia most desperately do not want the Americans to leave, but want them to stay in order to hold back the Shi'a, and to absolve them, the Sunni regimes, of having to help the beleaguered Sunnis in Iraq. So there are Muslims all over Europe, and collaborators and apologists and appeasers of Islam, all over Europe, who want the Americans to withdraw.
Give them that satisfaction. And then watch.
That's the beauty of the whole thing, as well as the sheer craziness of some of the positions taken by people. The very worst people will not be able to complain, even as the Camp of Islam divides and then divides further, and puts on a display of internal non-stop aggression and warfare that will use up their men, their OPEC billions, their war matériel, and keep them preoccupied so that the Infidels can look on, and draw lessons from the Demonstration Project, and a menaced Europe, and a maligned America (and an even more-maligned Israel) can once again be seen, in Europe, not as the reasons for Muslim aggression against the West, through Da'wa and demographic conquest, but merely other instances of the same threat to all Infidels, everywhere.