Friday, 31 July 2015
Across the Borderline with Rabbi Stephen Leon
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by Geoffrey Clarfield (August 2015)

 

In The Crypt of Ferdinand and Isabella

In 1492, the army of Ferdinand and Isabella, Catholic Kings of a united Christian Spain, defeated the Sultanate of Granada, ending a 700-year Muslim presence in the Spanish peninsula.  more>>>

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Posted on 07/31/2015 8:29 AM by NER
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Friday, 31 July 2015
Will Erdogan’s Turkey Frustrate Kurdish Recognition in the War Against ISIS?
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by Jerry Gordon (August 2015)
 

A series of suicide bombings in Suruc, Turkey July 20, 2015 triggered a major change in the Erdogan AKP participation in the US-led coalition effort to combat ISIS. The suicide bombing in the Turkish border town of Suruc directly across from Kobani this Thursday killed 32 and injured 100 of a Socialist group gathered to assist in the rebuilding of the devastated Kurdish community in Syria. The bomber was later identified through DNA analysis as Turkish University student, probably an ISIS returnee from Syria. The Kurdish Workers' Party (PKK) accursed the Turkish police of being complicit in the bombing and killed two Turkish police officers in retaliation. Erdogan then opened up operations from Turkish air bases. The air attacks unleashed in both Syria and Iraq by Turkey's air force were directed at both ISIS targets and Kurdish Workers Party (PKK) combat units in both Syria and Iraq.  more>>>

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Posted on 07/31/2015 8:23 AM by NER
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Friday, 31 July 2015
Reform Islam? Recognize Kurdistan!
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by G. Murphy Donovan (August 2015)
 

Nations create illusions for the same reasons that men pursue fantasy. Reality is often so ugly that wishful thinking becomes a defense mechanism. Such is the case with Palestine and the mythology of a “two-state” solution. A Palestinian state is now a near universal pipe dream, a chimera thought to appease the larger restive Arab and Muslim worlds. In fact, Fatah and Hamas are already two states. And, if the history of the West Bank and Gaza provide any evidence, a united Palestine would surely be dominated by Hamas, in turn legitimizing another proxy variant of the Islamic State nightmare.  more>>>

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Posted on 07/31/2015 8:18 AM by NER
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Friday, 31 July 2015
How Best to Overturn the Iran Nuclear Pact
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by Jerry Gordon (August 2015)
 

July 28th, Secretary Kerry was asked at a House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing by Wisconsin, Rep. Reid Ribble (R-WI) why the Iran nuclear deal wasn’t subject to advice and consent by the Senate as a treaty. Kerry suggested emphatically “that you can’t pass a treaty anymore.” As evidence that you could, it was pointed out that Kerry himself, acting as Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman in 2010, secured the approval of the Start 2 nuclear treaty with Russia. Testimony, both at last week’s Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing on the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act (INARA) and at the House Foreign Affairs Committee INARA hearing, raised questions about several options to overturn the Iran nuclear pact. We refer to proposals raised by former US prosecutor Andrew C. McCarthy, Caroline Glick, David Rivkin and Lee Casey as well as Robert Sklaroff.  more>>>

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Posted on 07/31/2015 8:13 AM by NER
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Friday, 31 July 2015
Peace Processing Iran
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by Nidra Poller (August 2015)


The principle is similar: faced with an enemy that repeatedly declares its genocidal hatred, acts on it wherever possible, constantly strives to improve its ways and means, you peace process. Why was it successful with Iran and not with the “Palestinians”? Perhaps because the comical P5 + 1 applied the pressure to itself in the case of Iran, leaving no one to resist. The same pressure applied to Israel since 1993 has failed to produce total surrender. Drastic concessions were proposed but the enemy insisted on the right of return of “refugees” down to the third, fourth, and forever generations that would spell the elimination of the Jewish state. There were no significant limits to the concessions made by the P5+1 and no expectation that the deal will yield anything other than itself. The deal is that there’s a deal.  more>>>

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Posted on 07/31/2015 8:10 AM by NER
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Friday, 31 July 2015
The Iran Nuclear Deal: A Pandora’s Box
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an interview with Omri Ceren and Shoshana Bryen
by Jerry Gordon and Mike Bates
(August 2015)


Tuesday morning, July 14, 2015, the P5+1 announced in Vienna, Austria the culmination of two years of negotiations among world powers and the Islamic Republic of Iran: a Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). The framework for this 159 page document, including five annexes, was approved by the parties on April 2, 2015. An original JPOA of action was agreed to on November 24, 2013 at Geneva. The US negotiating team was lead by Secretary of State John Kerry, assisted by Undersecretary of State Wendy Sherman, Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz, and Treasury Secretary Jack Lew.  more>>>

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Posted on 07/31/2015 8:01 AM by NER
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Friday, 31 July 2015
The Iran Deal: What You Need to Know and Aren’t Being Told
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by Joseph S. Spoerl (August 2015)
 

Iran and the negotiations surrounding its nuclear program are in the news a lot lately, but much of the reporting remains quite superficial, missing several important aspects of this issue. Two matters especially receive little or no attention, even from the most respected American news outlets. These are the role of Germany and the role of ideology. Both, it turns out, are crucial for assessing the wisdom of the Obama administration’s Iran policy.  more>>>

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Posted on 07/31/2015 7:53 AM by NER
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Friday, 31 July 2015
The Return of the Silent Majority
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by Rebecca Bynum (August 2015)


On Nov. 3, 1969, President Richard M. Nixon first called on the “silent majority of Americans” to support him and his plan for “peace with honor” with the North Vietnamese. Then, like now, vocal minorities dominated the debate and bullied the majority into silence. The majority of the country held their counsel until Nixon spoke for them and rallied them to his cause, which meant never to sacrifice American honor. However, the silent majority had its hopes shattered as we well remember.  more>>>

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Posted on 07/31/2015 7:47 AM by NER
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Friday, 31 July 2015
Clive James’ Last Act
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by John Broening (August 2015)


In the fourth volume of his Unreliable Memoirs, Clive James gives an unforgettable account of a visit he makes to the home of a dying critic, a former wunderkind who has been, if not quite disgraced or ruined, at least led astray and made foolish by his erotic obsessions  more>>>

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Posted on 07/31/2015 7:43 AM by NER
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Friday, 31 July 2015
A Metaphysic of Manners
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by Samuel Hux (August 2015)


A pretentious title, but this is as close as I’ll ever come to Immanuel Kant—to whom I apologize most politely for my titular imitation of his Fundamental Principles of the Metaphysic of Morals. And there is, isn’t there, something graceful about the alliteration?  more>>>

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Posted on 07/31/2015 7:39 AM by NER
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Friday, 31 July 2015
Of Tyrants and Trillions, Part II
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by Theodore Dalrymple (August 2015)


Having framed my Tyrant collection, together with Colonel Gaddafi, I rummaged around among the banknotes that I had brought home from my travels to various parts of the world, and realised that I had yet more tyrants to frame. Mostly, though not entirely, they were African. I also had an incipient hyperinflation collection, though in some cases the two categories overlapped.  more>>>

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Posted on 07/31/2015 7:36 AM by NER
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Friday, 31 July 2015
Of Tyrants and Trillions, Part I
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by Theodore Dalrymple (August 2015)


Tyranny is quite wrong, of course, on that we are all agreed, but neither can anyone deny that tyrants fascinate us. Indeed, where would Latin American literature have been without them? more>>>

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Posted on 07/31/2015 7:23 AM by NER
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Thursday, 30 July 2015
Stormy US Senate Armed Services Committee Hearing on Iran Nuclear Pact.
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JCS Chairman Gen. Martin Dempsey testifying with Secretaries, Kerry, Lew, Carter, Moniz

US Senate Armed Services Committee, July 29, 2015

Source: Chip Somodevilla/Getty)

 

The Administration rolled out its “A Team” of witnesses at the US Senate Armed Services Committee hearings on July 29th, chaired by Chairman Arizona Republican Senator John McCain.  The Hearing addressed national security issues arising from the Iran nuclear pact scheduled by a Congressional vote on or before September 17th under the term of the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act. Yesterday’s hearing was the last in a series of House and Senate sessions prior to the summer recess  adjournment starting  Thursday, July 31st. Congress reconvenes following the Labor Day holiday giving less than 10 days for additional hearings before the vote to either accept or reject the Iran nuclear pact. Public opinion poll taken during the current series of Congressional shows a majority of Americans tilting towards asking Congress to reject the pact. The issue is how many of the undecided 13 Democratic Senators and over 30 Democratic Representatives will decide if a negative vote will be veto proof, given a threat by President Obama.  The panel of witnesses included, Secretary of State John Kerry, Energy Secretary Earnest Moniz, Treasury Secretary Jack Lew, Defense Secretary Ashton Carter and outgoing Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Army Gen. Martin Dempsey.  While questions naturally arose about the credibility of maintaining a military option, there was a tough grilling of Secretary Kerry and Secretary Moniz by Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton on the secret side deals between the UN nuclear watchdog agency, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), and the Islamic Republic of Iran over prior military developments.

DefenseNews reported  the comments of Secretary Carter and Gen. Dempsey on military capabilities:


"It's important that we have an agreement and it be verifiable, and that we keep doing what we need to do: Defend our friends and allies, remain strong in the Gulf — frequent navigation, ballistic missile defense, all the things that we're doing, and the agreement doesn't limit us in any way," Carter said.

Indeed, "military options remain," Dempsey said, though a negotiated settlement provides a more "durable" solution, as well as time to work with local partner nations to address Iran's activities. Dempsey said there are a series of initiatives with Israel and the Gulf Cooperation Council to that effect.

Exercising airstrikes to take out Iran's nuclear capability would disrupt its program by several years, Dempsey said. However analysis suggests it would also provoke Iran to "counter our presence in the region at every opportunity and use these other malign activities they have."

That led to exchanges with Senators Roger Wicker (R-MS) and Joni Ernst (R-NE). Ernst like Senate panel colleague Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AK) is a former combat veteran who served in Iraq:

Sen. Roger Wicker, R-Miss., characterized Dempsey's brief opening statement, as a "tepid endorsement" of the accord and "damning disagreement with faint praise," which Dempsey disputed, saying he agreed with the deal.

His statement was neither "tepid nor enthusiastic, but pragmatic," Dempsey said. His input in the deal was sought "episodically," his final recommendation given weeks before negotiations concluded. At least in part, his recommendation was to keep pressure on Iran relative to ballistic missiles and arms trafficking for as long as possible.

Challenged by Sen. Joni Ernst, R-Iowa, over the president's assertion that the US faces a choice between an Iran deal or a resolution by force — which Ernst characterized as "war" — Dempsey said he had not said anything to that effect to the president.

"We have a range of options, and I hope to present them," Dempsey said. "As long as we agree, military strikes on a sovereign nation are an act of war, but there are things between here and there."

Sen. Cotton  was on top of his game engaging in the most withering  Q&A  with  Secretary Kerry and  Energy Secretary Moniz  about their knowledge or the lack thereof  concerning the  so-called secret  IAEA side deals  on prior  military nuclear developments (PMD).  Late he engaged Gen. Dempsey during a discussion of exhibits to corroborate the lethality of Iranian IEDS used to kill American service personnel in Iraq.  Dempsey lent the impression he was less inclined to be a booster of the Iran nuke deal. Cotton is both a veteran of combat in Iraq as a former US Army officer and a Harvard Law School graduate and admitted lawyer

Cotton, like any good prosecutor, secured the facts that bolstered his line of questioning to elicit a response he was seeking for the Committee record. Prior to this Armed Services Hearing, Cotton and Kansas Republican Congressman Mike Pompeo had flown to Vienna to confer with IAEA officials uncovering the alleged secret side deals on investigation of Iranian compliance with prior military developments in their nuclear program (PMD).

Kerry and Moniz, when queried about whether they had either knowledge of or read the IAEA secret side deals on PMD, adopted what in TV land is the fabled Sergeant Schultz defense from the 1960’s TV WWII Nazi prison camp comedy series, "Hogan's Heroes" - "I know nothing" They simply fobbed it off saying that someone like Undersecretary of State Wendy Sherman may have glanced through these documents. Just indicates that the Administration either elected not to conduct due diligence or used the ploy that those agreements were confidential between the IAEA and Iran, that as Cotton pointed out "the Ayatollah read".

Former IAEA deputy director Olli Heinonen, who is now a Senior Fellow at the Harvard Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, provided the answers in a report by Armin Rosen of Business Insider.  Heinonen in an email said:

"According to the IAEA rules and practices such documents could be made available to the members of the IAEA Board". Heinonen said the IAEA secretariat could not divulge these side agreements to other member states on its own initiative. But there are two ways US diplomats could access them. In one scenario, Iran would agree to divulge the documents: "Iran can make it available by asking to distribute it as an [Information Circular] document to all IAEA member states as they did with the 2007 Work Plan," Heinonen said, referring to a publicly available agreement between the IAEA and Iran on nuclear safeguards.

US diplomats could also view these side agreements if a member state of the IAEA's 35-member Board of Governors requests their distribution.

Such a move would stand a decent chance of success: "If a board member asks it and others resist the distribution ... this can be overcome by a vote," Heinonen said. "Simple majority is enough, and no vetoes exist in the IAEA system. The board can also request the whole document to be made public. Such a request could be best done by a country which is not part of the JCPOA process; my favorite is Canada."

Cotton showed   the witness panel two exhibits graphically portraying the effects of an Iranian developed shaped charge IED that were used to kill 500 American service personnel in Iraq. Gen. Dempsey acknowledged what they were and the devastating effects on Humvees, their occupants and other vehicles. Cotton then asks Kerry for his reaction. While, expressing appropriate sorrow for the loss of American lives, Kerry   told the Senate panel that Quds force commander Qasem Soleimani who developed the shaped charge IEDs would not have sanctions removed.   Reports by both ABC news and the Iranian FARS news agency  have confirmed  that Gen.Soleimani has been confirmed among a list   of Iranian persons and institutions  included in an annex to the JCPOA who will have both travel bans and asset restrictions lifted.

Watch this YouTube video of Senator Cotton’s Q+A at the Senate Armed Services Committee:

Senator Tom Cotton’s grilling of Kerry and Moniz revealed their lax conduct of due diligence on the IAEA side deals. They spent too much time being hounded with repeated demands for concessions by Javad Zarif in negotiations in Vienna.  Instead, they should have sent aides over to the IAEA headquarters to ask about the side deals to provide a road map on prior military developments of Iran nuclear program.  Senator Cotton and Rep. Pompeo did just that. Instead Kerry and the negotiating tea m basically said in so many words, we already know what Iran did, let’s move on and get with the program by approving the Iran nuclear pact.  The video of  Senator Cotton  Senate  Armed Services Committee  Q&A   should be widely shared  on social media  to inform  undecided  Congressional Democrats  about why the Iran nuclear pact  should be rejected. Hearing by hearing testimony by the Administration “A Team” on the Iranian nuclear pact demonstrates how bad a deal Kerry and the Obama negotiating team crafted with the experts in playing multi-dimensional chess, the Islamic Regime in Tehran.

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Posted on 07/30/2015 9:42 PM by Jerry Gordon
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Thursday, 30 July 2015
Israel’s Knesset is holding up Trilateral Energy Security with Cyprus and Greece
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Cypriot President Anastasiades  and Israeli PM Netanyahu, Nicosia, July 28, 2015

Source:  EPA

Israeli  PM  Netanyahu  visited Cypriot President  Nicos Anastasiades  in Nicosia  on Tuesday to discuss a furtherance of the trilateral alliance with the island Republic and Greece.  This followed three days of discussions earlier in July with the Greek Foreign Minister Nikos Kotzias in Jerusalem.  The AP reported:

 Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Tuesday that Israel was discussing "intensively" with Cyprus the best ways to extract and market gas found under the waters between the east Mediterranean neighbors.

Netanyahu visited Cyprus on Tuesday. After talks with Cypriot President Nicos Anastasiades, Netanyahu said the two countries would examine "the many possibilities" available to best utilize the gas.

Anastasiades said one such option is to pump the gas to regional markets through a pipeline. He said the possibility of connecting Israel, Cyprus and Greece with an electricity cable was also discussed.

We have written about those possibilities and the problems that confront the trilateral alliance in furtherance of the “possibilities” discussed  between Cypriot President Anastasiades and PM Netanyahu in a January 2015, NER article, “Could Israel Lose the Energy Prize in the Eastern Mediterranean?”

Here is an updated assessment of the possibilities and the difficulties facing tri-lateral alliance energy projects in the Eastern Mediterranean  

The   technically difficult 1,880 kilometer long submarine [Eastern Mediterranean] pipeline project, reaching depths of more than 2,000 meters, would connect the [Israeli] Leviathan and [Cypriot] Aphrodite gas fields ultimately to Italy. Cost for the project was estimated at over $20 Billion and would likely not be concluded at the earliest until 2020,   assuming that production of the Leviathan field in the Israeli EEZ begins in 2017.  That target date is now unlikely to be achieved.  That is due to the delays occasioned by the fight in the Israeli Knesset over a vote on the Prime Minister’s plan to override the Israeli Antitrust Authority decision of December 2014 that basically set back development of the Leviathan gas field by eight months.

 However, with the demise of both the Turkish Leviathan-Ceyhan pipeline and the Australian Woodside Pty.  Ashdod LNG –Eilat pipeline for delivery of gas to the Asian markets, the Eastern Mediterranean pipeline project may have serious consideration. There is however, the alternative of the onshore LNG facility at Vassilikos on Cyprus’ south shore to be built by the Consortium at an estimated cost of $10 billion.  A Memorandum of Understanding for planning the Vassilikos LNG complex was signed was signed by Cyprus and the Consortium of Delek Group and Houston-based Noble Energy, Inc. in June 2013.  In the interim, offshore floating LNG processing platforms that might be leased to ship processed gas via pressured LNG vessels to receiving terminals in Greece and Italy. However, Noble Energy was not initially supportive of the Eastern Mediterranean pipeline option, instead concentrating on sales from Leviathan to regional users like Jordan and Egypt and building the proposed Cypriot LNG processing facility.  But those prospects with Jordan and Egypt have been impacted by the impasse on scheduling a Knesset vote on the Prime Minister’s compromise plan to override the IAA ruling of December 2014.  As a result of regulatory actions by the independent IAA both Noble Energy and its Israeli consortium partner Delek Group plans for Leviathan as well as the Eastern Mediterranean Pipeline may be in jeopardy until the Knesset votes to approve the Prime Minister proposal.   

It is good that Israel, Cyprus and Greece have entered into a tri lateral alliance for security of vast offshore energy resources in their respective Exclusive Economic Zones in the Eastern Mediterranean basins. Whether Joint LNG projects or the Eastern Mediterranean pipeline this could create a significant geo resource wealth and job producing enterprise. All three countries have to deal with Turkey under Erdogan and the illegal enclave in Cyprus created by the 1974 invasion. PM Netanyahu still has to get a Knesset vote to overturn the ill advised December 2014 decision of Dr. Gilo, the left wing head of the Israel Anti Trust Authority (IAA) who resigned in protest after reneging on a compromise deal with Israeli Delek Group and Houston based Noble Energy, Inc developers of major gas fields in Israel's EEZ. If the Knesset can get its act together and pass the proposed exemption from the IAA proposal, it would ensure the country realizing significant energy independence and future wealth and economic growth. The left opposition and Israel daily Yedioth Ahronoth have misled Israelis about the deal and market pricing of natural gas in the world energy markets.It is well past time for the Knesset to pass the Prime Minister Netanyahu's  plan and move on with offshore gas development to secure Israel's and trilateral alliance partners Cyprus' and Greece's  collective energy prize  in the Eastern Mediterranean

 

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Posted on 07/30/2015 4:14 PM by Jerry Gordon
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Thursday, 30 July 2015
Ofsted accused of 'ignoring' the bullying of Christian students
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From the Telegraph. HT the left wing useful idiots of Left Foot Forward who criticise the newspaper for running the story because in their view Colin Hart and the institute are "Christian bigots". 

The schools watchdog has been accused of “ignoring” the bullying of Christian students following a in-depth investigation into radicalisation of pupils at a group of schools in Birmingham.

Colin Hart, director of the Christian Institute, a pressure group and a charity, has said Ofsted and the Department for Education (DfE) have given “inadequate attention” to the “bullying of Christian pupils”. 

His remarks follow a recent letter from Sir Michael Wilshaw, the schools’ chief inspector, addressing the issue of schools caught up in the so-called Trojan Horse scandal, which alleged Muslim groups were seeking to gain control of schools in Birmingham.

In a letter addressed to Nicky Morgan, the Education Secretary, Mr Hart said it was “striking” that official reports by Peter Clarke and Ian Kershaw listed explicit examples of anti-Christian “intolerance” in several schools involved in the scandal but “none of these are noted in the Ofsted reports on those schools”.

Mr Hart wrote: “You will see they include anti-Christian chanting in assemblies, GCSE pupils who opted to learn Christianity being left to teach themselves, and Christians being called ‘ignorant’ or ‘liars’ by teachers.”

He went on to say that it was “disturbing” to witness a “complete lack of any specific plans of action to tackle anti-Christian intolerance”. “Ofsted’s system for detecting intolerance is clearly inadequate if it is not picking up on anti-Christian sentiment. In fact, Ofsted may be part of the problem. . ."

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Posted on 07/30/2015 3:17 PM by Esmerelda Weatherwax
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